Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Ajaccio
25.3%
Draw
31.7%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Ajaccio
vs
1.09
Amiens
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).