Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Newcastle
27.0%
Draw
26.3%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Newcastle
vs
1.23
Fulham
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).