Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Gil Vicente
20.6%
Draw
17.0%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Gil Vicente
vs
1.09
Arouca
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).