Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Hammarby
30.0%
Draw
22.8%
IFK Göteborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Hammarby
vs
0.90
IFK Göteborg
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).