Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Salernitana
35.4%
Draw
21.5%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Salernitana
vs
0.66
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.580.7%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.3%
1-0
17.7%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).