Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Accrington
26.2%
Draw
25.3%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Accrington
vs
0.92
Barrow
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).