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03 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Tenerife
30.5%
Draw
32.4%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Tenerife

vs
0.96

Andorra

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).