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30 Aug 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Valladolid
23.7%
Draw
40.9%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Valladolid

vs
1.60

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).