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HHT: 20CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.5%
Forfar
32.8%
Draw
40.7%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Forfar

vs
1.29

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).