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DHT: 20CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Trapani
31.8%
Draw
46.1%
Cagliari

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Trapani

vs
1.26

Cagliari

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).