Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Sivasspor
34.1%
Draw
28.4%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Sivasspor
vs
1.10
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).