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AHT: 02CSV

18 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.3%
Weymouth
22.9%
Draw
57.8%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Weymouth

vs
2.01

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).