Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Mechelen
25.4%
Draw
35.8%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Mechelen
vs
1.44
Genk
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).