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21 Mar 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Oldham
27.9%
Draw
18.5%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Oldham

vs
0.63

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.2%
0-0
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).