Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Troyes
16.8%
Draw
70.4%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Troyes
vs
2.40
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
0-3
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).