Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Fiorentina
26.1%
Draw
27.2%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Fiorentina
vs
1.03
Brescia
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).