Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Notts County
25.3%
Draw
32.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Notts County
vs
1.20
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).