Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Augsburg
28.0%
Draw
27.7%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Augsburg
vs
1.09
Hertha
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).