Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Sudtirol
27.9%
Draw
15.3%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Sudtirol
vs
0.68
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).