Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Swindon
25.2%
Draw
46.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Swindon
vs
1.36
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).