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DHT: 00CSV

16 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Shrewsbury
26.7%
Draw
50.3%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Shrewsbury

vs
1.30

Bradford

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.5%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).