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08 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Sunderland
23.0%
Draw
56.0%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Sunderland

vs
1.60

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).