Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
26.1%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Stevenage
vs
0.92
Salford
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).