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14 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.2%
Livingston
25.4%
Draw
8.4%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Livingston

vs
0.48

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS32.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.7%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).