Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Monza
26.3%
Draw
42.8%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Monza
vs
1.38
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).