Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Millwall
27.2%
Draw
40.5%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Millwall
vs
1.46
Coventry
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).