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30 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.1%
Galatasaray
16.0%
Draw
5.9%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.80

Galatasaray

vs
0.76

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).