Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Farense
31.5%
Draw
22.3%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Farense
vs
0.65
Tondela
Markets
BTTS30.9%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
0-0
17.3%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).