Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Swindon
23.8%
Draw
25.7%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Swindon
vs
0.99
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).