Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
18.1%
Draw
16.1%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.03
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).