Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Almeria
14.0%
Draw
75.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Almeria
vs
3.02
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-4
6.2%
1-1
5.6%
0-4
5.5%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).