Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Annan Athletic
22.4%
Draw
40.7%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Annan Athletic
vs
1.93
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS72.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).