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12 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Rotherham
29.6%
Draw
46.9%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Rotherham

vs
1.38

West Brom

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).