Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Gateshead
16.7%
Draw
69.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Gateshead
vs
2.84
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.558.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
5.1%
0-4
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).