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22 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.5%
St. Gilloise
27.2%
Draw
20.3%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

St. Gilloise

vs
0.86

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).