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20 Sept 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.7%
Pogoń Szczecin
28.2%
Draw
28.1%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.13

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).