Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Newport County
23.0%
Draw
43.3%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Newport County
vs
1.64
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).