Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Asteras Tripolis
34.1%
Draw
42.2%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Asteras Tripolis
vs
1.09
Aris
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.0%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).