Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Salernitana
23.3%
Draw
51.2%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Salernitana
vs
1.73
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).