Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Marseille
13.2%
Draw
9.7%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Marseille
vs
0.98
Nimes
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
5-0
3.6%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).