Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Almeria
23.5%
Draw
43.0%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Almeria
vs
1.77
Betis
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).