Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Paderborn
28.2%
Draw
35.9%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Paderborn
vs
1.35
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).