⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 11CSV

30 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
31.9%
Blackburn
32.9%
Draw
35.2%
Swansea

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Blackburn

vs
1.04

Swansea

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).