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AHT: 02CSV

03 Sept 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Paris FC
22.0%
Draw
24.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Paris FC

vs
1.06

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).