Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Thun
17.0%
Draw
12.4%
Luzern
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Thun
vs
1.24
Luzern
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.578.3%
Over 3.559.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
4-2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).