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23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.2%
Crewe
17.5%
Draw
71.4%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Crewe

vs
2.06

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
0-2
14.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
1-4
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).