Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Amorebieta
32.6%
Draw
31.4%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Amorebieta
vs
0.86
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.5%
1-0
15.7%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).