Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Rostov
33.4%
Draw
24.5%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Rostov
vs
0.83
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).