Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Chesterfield
23.5%
Draw
41.9%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Chesterfield
vs
1.56
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).