Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
La Coruna
24.9%
Draw
27.1%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
La Coruna
vs
1.11
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).